Kilmarnock vs Falkirk analysis

Kilmarnock Falkirk
61 ELO 79
4.6% Tilt -9.5%
527º General ELO ranking 399º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22.8%
Kilmarnock
20.9%
Draw
56.3%
Falkirk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
56.3%
Win probability
Falkirk
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kilmarnock
-3%
+2%
Falkirk

ELO progression

Kilmarnock
Falkirk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 1907
HIB
Hibernian FC
3 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
84%
11%
5%
62 81 19 0
12 Oct. 1907
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Greenock Morton
GRE
56%
21%
23%
62 67 5 0
05 Oct. 1907
ABE
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
73%
15%
12%
63 72 9 -1
28 Sep. 1907
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Clyde
CLY
53%
21%
26%
63 66 3 0
21 Sep. 1907
QUE
Queen's Park
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
61%
20%
20%
63 61 2 0

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 1907
FAL
Falkirk
3 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
51%
21%
28%
78 83 5 0
12 Oct. 1907
FAL
Falkirk
4 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
77%
14%
10%
78 72 6 0
05 Oct. 1907
FAL
Falkirk
3 - 1
Partick Thistle
PAR
79%
12%
9%
77 70 7 +1
28 Sep. 1907
AIR
Airdrieonians
2 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
56%
21%
23%
77 77 0 0
21 Sep. 1907
FAL
Falkirk
9 - 0
Port Glasgow Athletic
PGA
90%
7%
4%
77 59 18 0