Kilmarnock vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1949 |
QUE
3 - 1
KIL
51%
20%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1949 |
KIL
2 - 0
STJ
48%
21%
31%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1949 |
DUN
5 - 1
KIL
48%
21%
32%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1949 |
KIL
2 - 0
QUE
67%
17%
16%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1949 |
STJ
3 - 2
KIL
68%
16%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1949 |
STJ
2 - 3
DUN
72%
15%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1949 |
DUN
3 - 0
QUE
60%
19%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 1949 |
DUN
5 - 1
KIL
48%
21%
32%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1949 |
DUN
1 - 2
STJ
40%
21%
39%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1949 |
QUE
0 - 1
DUN
67%
16%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |