Kilmarnock vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
KIL
0 - 2
HOM
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
KIL
1 - 2
ABE
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
AYR
2 - 2
KIL
29%
25%
47%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
FAL
1 - 1
KIL
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
HIB
2 - 4
KIL
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
STI
2 - 0
AYR
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
AYR
2 - 2
KIL
29%
25%
47%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2008 |
BRE
0 - 1
AYR
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2008 |
AYR
3 - 1
LOC
78%
14%
8%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
PET
3 - 0
AYR
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |