Kilmarnock vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
10%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1935 |
KIL
4 - 1
STJ
55%
20%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1935 |
PAR
2 - 0
KIL
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1935 |
KIL
1 - 2
DUN
73%
15%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1935 |
AYR
1 - 3
KIL
49%
22%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1935 |
QOS
2 - 1
KIL
45%
22%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1935 |
ARB
0 - 1
HAM
30%
22%
49%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1935 |
ARB
3 - 1
AYR
46%
21%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1935 |
HOM
2 - 1
ARB
85%
10%
6%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1935 |
ARB
3 - 1
QOS
52%
22%
26%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1935 |
HIB
0 - 2
ARB
69%
17%
14%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |