FA Trophy Semi-finals
Global 1-5
Kidderminster Harriers vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
EAS
0 - 0
KID
25%
27%
49%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
KID
2 - 2
EBB
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
KID
3 - 0
HIS
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
OXF
1 - 2
KID
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
KID
2 - 1
FOR
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
STE
4 - 0
BAR
75%
17%
9%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
STE
2 - 0
CRA
72%
18%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
EAS
0 - 6
STE
19%
26%
55%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
WRE
0 - 1
STE
21%
27%
53%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
STE
2 - 1
WOR
76%
16%
9%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |