FA Cup 1/32
Global 3-2
Kidderminster Harriers vs Peterborough United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
51%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
LUT
6 - 0
KID
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
KID
2 - 1
HER
71%
17%
11%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
GRI
3 - 1
KID
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
KID
1 - 3
ALF
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
WOK
1 - 0
KID
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
POS
1 - 3
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
CUM
2 - 1
POS
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
COV
4 - 2
POS
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
POS
2 - 1
BRA
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
GIL
2 - 2
POS
18%
23%
58%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |