Kidderminster Harriers vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
KID
3 - 0
GAI
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
HAL
2 - 0
KID
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BPO
2 - 0
KID
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
STO
0 - 1
KID
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
TOW
0 - 2
KID
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CHO
4 - 1
GLO
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
GLO
0 - 2
CUR
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 2
GLO
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
UNM
2 - 4
GLO
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
GLO
1 - 0
BRA
74%
17%
10%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |