Kickers Luzern vs Zug 94 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
57.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
13º
16º
16º
51
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 0
LUZ
42%
23%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 2
CHA
54%
21%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 1
LUZ
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 4
FCS
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 0
LUZ
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zug 94
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ZUG
3 - 2
RSZ
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ZUG
3 - 1
BUO
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 1
ZUG
20%
21%
59%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ZUG
8 - 3
CHA
66%
18%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BRU
2 - 1
ZUG
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |