Kickers Luzern vs Red Star Zürich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
13º
16º
16º
42
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LUZ
2 - 0
ZUG
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 0
LUZ
42%
23%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 2
CHA
54%
21%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 1
LUZ
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 4
FCS
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Red Star Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
RSZ
0 - 2
BUO
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ZUG
3 - 2
RSZ
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RSZ
1 - 0
ASC
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 5
RSZ
28%
23%
50%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RSZ
1 - 2
BRU
63%
20%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |