Kickers Luzern vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
13º
9º
27
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 0
LUZ
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 1
LUZ
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LUZ
2 - 3
ASC
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BRU
0 - 0
LUZ
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LUZ
3 - 0
ZUG
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 1
HER
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HER
2 - 4
IBA
52%
23%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ESC
2 - 0
HER
18%
20%
62%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
HER
0 - 2
MEN
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
FCC
54%
22%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |