Kickers Luzern vs Brunnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
65.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
13º
16º
16º
46
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 1
LUZ
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LUZ
1 - 2
FCC
28%
26%
47%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
GOL
2 - 1
LUZ
58%
20%
23%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
PER
2 - 1
LUZ
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 2
FCU
38%
23%
40%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Brunnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
BUO
1 - 1
BRU
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 1
RSZ
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ZUG
2 - 4
BRU
59%
21%
21%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BRU
4 - 1
ASC
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
BRU
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |