Kickers Luzern vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
LUZ
1 - 1
BUO
31%
24%
45%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
IBA
3 - 1
LUZ
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
FCB
2 - 1
LUZ
18%
21%
61%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LUZ
0 - 0
SAR
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
LUZ
2 - 1
MAL
18%
23%
59%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
AAR
0 - 1
LUG
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
AAR
5 - 0
IBA
70%
18%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BUO
1 - 1
AAR
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
AAR
4 - 1
FCB
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
AAR
3 - 0
SAR
80%
14%
7%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |