Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda. Final
Global 1-5
Khazar Lankaran vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Khazar Lankaran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2008 |
SIM
1 - 1
KHA
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
KHA
2 - 0
SHA
42%
24%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
KHA
0 - 0
AZA
52%
28%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
FKN
0 - 1
KHA
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
KHA
0 - 0
FKB
52%
27%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
LPO
1 - 2
LKS
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
TSP
2 - 2
LPO
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2008 |
LPO
6 - 1
JAG
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CRA
3 - 2
LPO
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
LPO
2 - 1
DYS
52%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |