KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
15º
11º
18
2º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
29 | 57 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 57 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 55 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 49 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 42 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 42 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 37 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 37 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 34 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 22 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 14 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFUM Oslo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2025 |
BRY
0 - 2
KFU
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
FFK
1 - 0
KFU
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
KFU
1 - 3
TRO
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
TRO
0 - 1
KFU
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
HAM
0 - 0
KFU
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2025 |
VIF
1 - 1
HAM
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SDF
2 - 1
VIF
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
VIF
2 - 4
BBS
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
KRI
0 - 2
VIF
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
VIF
0 - 2
RBK
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |