KFUM Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
15º
11º
22
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
29 | 57 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 57 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 55 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 49 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 42 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 42 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 37 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 37 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 34 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 22 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 14 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1.5% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 79% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFUM Oslo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SGR
1 - 5
KFU
6%
14%
81%
|
78 | 26 | 52 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
VKG
3 - 1
KFU
65%
20%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
KFU
3 - 1
SDF
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
STR
2 - 1
KFU
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SDF
1 - 0
KFU
46%
24%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SJE
0 - 4
S08
5%
11%
84%
|
81 | 22 | 59 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
S08
1 - 1
VIF
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MFK
0 - 2
S08
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
HÄC
0 - 4
S08
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
S08
0 - 0
MJÄ
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |