Wezel vs Tongeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
16º
16º
32
7º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wezel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
STT
3 - 0
WEZ
36%
23%
41%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
WEZ
1 - 3
RAC
26%
23%
50%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
DIE
9 - 1
WEZ
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
WEZ
1 - 1
HAD
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ESP
2 - 2
WEZ
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tongeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
RUP
3 - 1
TON
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
TON
1 - 2
ESP
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
KVV
4 - 0
TON
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
TON
1 - 0
WEL
55%
23%
21%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BER
0 - 1
TON
40%
26%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |