Wezel vs KFC Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
16º
16º
27
3º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wezel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HOU
4 - 0
WEZ
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
WEZ
0 - 1
DIE
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
WEZ
1 - 1
STT
89%
7%
4%
|
49 | 14 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 1
WEZ
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
WEZ
2 - 2
ESP
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
KFC Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 0
WEL
52%
23%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
LIL
43%
23%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LIL
0 - 0
RAC
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
KVV
6 - 3
LIL
50%
22%
28%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
0 - 2
HAD
45%
24%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |