ASV Geel vs Denderleeuw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASV Geel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
EUP
1 - 0
KFC
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
KFC
1 - 0
DES
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
ZUL
0 - 0
KFC
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
ING
1 - 1
KFC
54%
24%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
KFC
0 - 2
CER
36%
27%
38%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Denderleeuw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
TIE
1 - 3
DEN
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
DEN
0 - 1
EUP
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
DES
2 - 0
DEN
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
RON
1 - 1
DEN
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
DEN
3 - 0
ING
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +2 |