ASV Geel vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASV Geel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
DEI
1 - 1
KFC
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
KFC
2 - 0
LIE
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
RON
0 - 4
KFC
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
KFC
2 - 4
DES
43%
25%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
ING
1 - 0
KFC
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
EXC
2 - 2
TIE
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
STR
1 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 1
BER
32%
26%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
LIE
3 - 2
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
DES
3 - 0
EXC
61%
21%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |