Moen vs RC Lauwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
9º
22
5º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
85.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
KFM
5 - 1
KSV
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
OOS
1 - 0
KFM
25%
21%
54%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
KFM
5 - 1
RAC
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
KWL
2 - 1
KFM
65%
18%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
KFM
0 - 0
MEU
55%
20%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
RC Lauwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BLA
6 - 2
RCL
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
RCL
0 - 3
SHE
41%
22%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
KEZ
1 - 1
RCL
62%
19%
18%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
RCL
3 - 3
DIK
18%
19%
63%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
OOS
3 - 1
RCL
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |