KFC Lille vs Tongeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
56.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
16º
15º
48
1º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
74% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 46 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
40 | 40 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFC Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 3
RAC
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
LIL
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LIL
0 - 3
RCL
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WEZ
3 - 1
LIL
62%
19%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 0
LYR
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Tongeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HOU
1 - 2
TON
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TON
3 - 0
DIE
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TEM
5 - 0
TON
26%
23%
51%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
TON
1 - 0
LON
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TON
1 - 4
FBO
35%
22%
43%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |