KFC Lille vs Mechelen U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
16º
14º
43
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 34% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFC Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 2
EEN
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
WEZ
0 - 2
LIL
47%
22%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 0
WEL
52%
23%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
LIL
43%
23%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LIL
0 - 0
RAC
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mechelen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MEC
3 - 1
BED
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 1
MEC
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MEC
0 - 1
TON
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
EEN
1 - 2
MEC
68%
18%
13%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MEC
0 - 0
HAD
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |