KVC Lille vs Esperanza Pelt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
45.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
16º
14º
26
6º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KVC Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
BER
0 - 2
LIL
60%
21%
20%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
EEN
2 - 0
LIL
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
LIL
0 - 3
RUP
15%
22%
63%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
WEL
2 - 1
LIL
44%
23%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LIL
0 - 2
KVV
36%
25%
40%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Esperanza Pelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ESP
1 - 1
EEN
22%
23%
56%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
RAC
2 - 2
ESP
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
TON
1 - 2
ESP
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ESP
3 - 2
MEC
23%
25%
53%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
STT
0 - 0
ESP
32%
25%
44%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |