HO Kalken vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
65.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HO Kalken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HOK
1 - 0
OLS
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
HOK
4 - 1
GOS
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
HOK
0 - 9
GEN
4%
12%
85%
|
41 | 88 | 47 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HOK
4 - 0
AAL
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
EEN
2 - 1
HOK
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 1
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 0
UNF
77%
16%
8%
|
57 | 17 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ASN
4 - 0
EXC
57%
21%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
EXC
1 - 1
OHL
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CAP
3 - 3
EXC
15%
22%
63%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |