Herent vs Stade Bierbeek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
55.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
5º
16º
5º
55
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
BEL
35%
22%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
WAM
4 - 1
HER
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HER
0 - 0
KCE
62%
19%
20%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
VEL
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 3
HER
54%
21%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Bierbeek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
STA
3 - 3
LIE
57%
22%
22%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
EEN
2 - 2
STA
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
STA
3 - 1
HOU
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BKU
0 - 8
STA
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
STA
0 - 0
FEN
34%
22%
44%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |