Herent vs SC Aarschot analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
64.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
HER
0 - 4
DIE
12%
16%
71%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
SC Aarschot
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
HOU
0 - 4
AAR
64%
18%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
FSI
0 - 1
AAR
7%
13%
80%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
HOU
1 - 6
AAR
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
AAR
0 - 1
MEL
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
AAR
1 - 4
LIN
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |