Herent vs Fenixx Beigem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
50.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
5º
16º
5º
59
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BKU
2 - 0
HER
29%
22%
50%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HER
3 - 2
EEN
58%
20%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
GRI
1 - 1
HER
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HER
2 - 3
WAM
49%
22%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 1
HER
60%
20%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fenixx Beigem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
FEN
2 - 3
HUL
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 2
FEN
25%
22%
54%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FEN
1 - 2
RHO
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 2
FEN
21%
21%
59%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FEN
1 - 1
MEL
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |