Valbona vs Murlani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
4º
20
6º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
68% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 2 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valbona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
KFV
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
KFV
1 - 3
VOR
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 1
KFV
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
KFV
3 - 1
ILI
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 3
KFV
17%
19%
64%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Murlani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 4
SOP
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ADA
0 - 1
MUR
24%
21%
55%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 0
FCB
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SHE
2 - 1
MUR
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 2
VEL
18%
22%
60%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |