Valbona vs KF Iliria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+72%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
4º
20
4º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
68% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 2 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valbona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 3
KFV
17%
19%
64%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SOP
4 - 3
KFV
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
KFV
5 - 0
ADA
77%
14%
9%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FCB
0 - 5
KFV
24%
20%
56%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
KFV
4 - 0
SHE
63%
18%
19%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
KF Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ILI
1 - 0
SOP
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ADA
1 - 2
ILI
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FCB
2 - 1
ILI
34%
22%
45%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ILI
2 - 4
SHE
55%
20%
25%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 0
ILI
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |