Valbona vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
61.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
8º
12º
11º
74
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
74 | 74 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valbona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
BUR
2 - 1
KFV
62%
24%
14%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
KFV
1 - 2
POG
19%
24%
57%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
LUS
4 - 1
KFV
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
KFV
3 - 0
KRU
26%
25%
50%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +3 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
APO
2 - 1
KFV
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
BES
1 - 0
VOR
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FLA
0 - 2
BES
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
BES
2 - 0
ERZ
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
BES
0 - 0
BUR
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
POG
0 - 1
BES
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |