Dukagjini vs Ferizaj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
10º
5º
39
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dukagjini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 1
KFD
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
KFD
2 - 0
DSK
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
UEM
1 - 2
KFD
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
KFD
0 - 1
GJI
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
KFB
1 - 1
KFD
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ferizaj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
KFB
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 1
FER
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
LLA
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DSK
1 - 0
FER
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
FCD
23%
27%
51%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |