UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 1-2
Ballkani vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballkani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
FCD
1 - 0
KFB
43%
25%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
AKP
1 - 6
KFB
34%
26%
41%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 2
KFB
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
KFB
2 - 0
GJI
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
DSK
3 - 1
KFB
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 1
HLI
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
SUD
0 - 5
ZAL
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 1
DTE
78%
16%
6%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
PAN
0 - 2
ZAL
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ZAL
1 - 2
KZA
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |