UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 3-3
Ballkani vs UE Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballkani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
UES
1 - 2
KFB
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
TIK
2 - 0
KFB
21%
24%
55%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
KFB
2 - 2
UEM
47%
23%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
KFB
2 - 2
PRI
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 1
KFB
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UE Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
UES
1 - 2
KFB
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
QPR
2 - 0
UES
58%
21%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
UES
1 - 0
PAC
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
UES
0 - 0
SCO
38%
27%
36%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
INT
1 - 1
UES
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |