Aresimi vs FK Pobeda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
5º
3º
33
6º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aresimi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
BAS
2 - 1
ARE
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
AKP
1 - 1
ARE
55%
21%
24%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ARE
1 - 1
OHR
65%
21%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BEL
0 - 1
ARE
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
ARE
2 - 3
SHH
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 15 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
FK Pobeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
POB
2 - 1
MAK
10%
19%
70%
|
32 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
FKB
0 - 1
POB
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
POB
0 - 0
BRE
11%
19%
70%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
VAN
2 - 1
POB
46%
25%
30%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
POB
1 - 1
BAS
17%
20%
64%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |