Arbëria vs Trepça'89 analysis


63	ELO	69
5.6%	Tilt	3.3%
40129º	General ELO ranking	2142º
39º	Country ELO ranking	9º
ELO win probability

37.3%

Arbëria

26.4%

Draw

36.3%

Trepça'89

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

37.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%

26.4%

Draw

0-0

7.5%

1-1

12.6%

2-2

5.3%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

0

26.4%

36.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arbëria

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
03 Apr. 2021	KFA 1 - 3 FCD 30% 30% 40%	64	74	10
21 Mar. 2021	LLA 4 - 3 KFA 61% 22% 17%	64	70	6
14 Mar. 2021	DSK 1 - 1 KFA 51% 26% 23%	64	67	3
11 Mar. 2021	KFA 2 - 6 KFB 27% 29% 44%	64	74	10
06 Mar. 2021	GJI 1 - 1 KFA 59% 26% 16%	64	74	10

Matches

Trepça'89

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
03 Apr. 2021	DSK 2 - 0 TRE 35% 26% 39%	69	67	2	0
21 Mar. 2021	TRE 0 - 2 KFB 36% 26% 38%	69	74	5	0
18 Mar. 2021	TRE 1 - 2 LLA 46% 24% 31%	70	69	1	-1
14 Mar. 2021	GJI 2 - 1 TRE 39% 27% 34%	70	73	3	0
10 Mar. 2021	TRE 0 - 0 FER 44% 27% 29%	70	74	4	0