Kettering Town vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kettering Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
STI
0 - 1
KET
41%
23%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
KET
1 - 5
SLO
18%
21%
62%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
KET
0 - 3
BAR
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
POT
2 - 0
KET
48%
24%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
KET
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 2
BED
49%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SCA
0 - 1
GRE
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 0
GRE
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 3
MIC
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
RAI
2 - 1
GRE
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |