Kercem Ajax vs Kalkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
61.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kercem Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
KER
3 - 0
ATT
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
KER
1 - 5
RAB
18%
22%
61%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
MDI
1 - 5
KER
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
KER
1 - 2
LUQ
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Kalkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
MGA
1 - 4
KAL
7%
16%
77%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |