Keratsini vs Aris Petroupolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
12º
6º
36
1º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
23% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keratsini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
KER
0 - 0
AAP
23%
26%
52%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
FCM
0 - 0
KER
65%
22%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
ANK
0 - 0
KER
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
KER
0 - 0
ETH
37%
25%
39%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KER
5 - 0
AGI
71%
17%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Aris Petroupolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ASP
2 - 0
GIO
18%
22%
60%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
ASP
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ASP
0 - 0
AAO
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
FOS
1 - 0
ASP
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ASP
1 - 1
AOT
84%
11%
6%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |