Keratsini vs Agios Ierotheos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
12º
6º
3
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
23% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keratsini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RAF
2 - 1
KER
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
KER
1 - 0
MOS
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
KER
0 - 0
GIO
37%
25%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
KER
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
KER
2 - 1
AAO
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Agios Ierotheos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AGI
0 - 2
GIO
20%
25%
56%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
POR
5 - 1
AGI
66%
19%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AGI
1 - 2
AAO
26%
22%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
FOS
7 - 0
AGI
65%
21%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
AGI
0 - 3
ASP
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |