Kenia U20 vs Japón U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
62.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
KEN
2 - 5
GTM
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2009 |
KEN
0 - 4
GHA
15%
20%
65%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
EGY
7 - 1
KEN
67%
20%
14%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Japón U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
JPN
0 - 3
COL
40%
24%
37%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
FRA
4 - 1
JPN
39%
24%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
KOR
1 - 2
JPN
50%
23%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2008 |
CIV
4 - 3
JPN
25%
23%
52%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
JPN
4 - 5
ITA
45%
25%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |