KenGold vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
54.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+118%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KenGold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
KFC
1 - 1
KEN
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2025 |
KEN
2 - 0
SBS
16%
21%
63%
|
12 | 59 | 47 | +3 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
YOU
6 - 1
KEN
81%
12%
6%
|
13 | 60 | 47 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2024 |
IFC
2 - 1
KEN
74%
17%
10%
|
13 | 61 | 48 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
SIM
2 - 0
KEN
84%
11%
6%
|
13 | 61 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
KAG
3 - 0
SBS
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
KAG
1 - 2
KFC
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
IFC
2 - 2
KAG
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
YOU
4 - 0
KAG
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
KAG
2 - 5
SIM
31%
30%
40%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |