FA Trophy 1/256
Global 2-4
Kempston Rovers vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
52.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kempston Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
SUT
1 - 1
KEM
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
THA
1 - 3
KEM
42%
22%
37%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
KEM
1 - 3
BAR
70%
18%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
DER
1 - 3
KEM
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
AYL
1 - 2
KEM
12%
18%
70%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MER
0 - 1
BEA
34%
22%
44%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
BEA
7 - 0
CHE
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
GOS
2 - 3
BEA
26%
21%
53%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
BEA
47%
23%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
WIM
0 - 1
BEA
36%
22%
42%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |