Kempston Rovers vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kempston Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
STN
2 - 3
KEM
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
KEM
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
KEM
1 - 1
BFC
14%
18%
69%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
KID
1 - 1
KEM
71%
18%
12%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
KEM
1 - 2
THA
15%
20%
65%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
THA
1 - 1
AFD
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
WEL
2 - 0
AFD
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
AFD
3 - 0
BER
33%
24%
42%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +3 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
STN
0 - 4
AFD
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
AFD
2 - 0
HAR
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |