Kematen vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
40.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
8º
11
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kematen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TEL
5 - 3
KEM
76%
14%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
KEM
2 - 3
FCV
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
KEM
0 - 3
VOL
51%
21%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
IAC
1 - 1
KEM
41%
21%
39%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
KEM
2 - 1
WAT
16%
17%
66%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
WOR
0 - 4
EBB
62%
19%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 3
FUG
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
KIT
0 - 0
WOR
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
WOR
0 - 4
FCV
60%
19%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 0
KUN
72%
16%
13%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |