Kematen vs Mils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
35.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
10º
4º
43
2º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kematen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
KIR
1 - 1
KEM
26%
21%
53%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
KEM
30%
21%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
KEM
0 - 0
STJ
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
VOL
4 - 1
KEM
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
KEM
2 - 1
WIN
8%
16%
75%
|
25 | 62 | 37 | +1 |
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SCM
4 - 3
STJ
64%
17%
19%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 0
SCM
57%
19%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SCM
4 - 1
WIN
12%
18%
70%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SVI
3 - 0
SCM
15%
16%
69%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SCM
1 - 3
FCV
66%
17%
18%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |