Kematen vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kematen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
WAT
1 - 0
KEM
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
KEM
4 - 1
FCK
69%
16%
15%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 0
KEM
16%
19%
65%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
KEM
6 - 0
VOL
87%
9%
4%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SVI
3 - 2
KEM
33%
22%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
KIR
0 - 4
STJ
45%
21%
34%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
KIR
1 - 0
KUN
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 2
KIR
21%
20%
60%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
KIR
6 - 0
FCS
83%
10%
6%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
KIR
0 - 3
HAL
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -2 |