Kematen vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kematen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
KEM
1 - 3
FUG
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
IMS
0 - 3
KEM
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
KEM
3 - 0
KIR
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
WAT
3 - 2
KEM
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
KEM
4 - 2
MOT
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
KIT
8 - 1
KIR
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
TEL
7 - 0
KIR
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
KIR
2 - 3
WOR
18%
19%
64%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
KEM
3 - 0
KIR
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
KIR
3 - 2
SCH
81%
12%
8%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |