Kematen vs Innsbrucker AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
33.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
8º
25
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kematen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
WAT
5 - 0
KEM
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KEM
1 - 1
STJ
38%
23%
40%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FUG
2 - 2
KEM
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
KEM
3 - 3
KUN
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KEM
1 - 1
EBB
39%
22%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Innsbrucker AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
IAC
3 - 1
EBB
39%
22%
40%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KIT
3 - 2
IAC
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
IAC
2 - 3
FCV
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 2
IAC
51%
20%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
IAC
2 - 1
TEL
25%
20%
55%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |