Keith vs St. Cuthbert Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
KEI
0 - 1
ARB
13%
18%
69%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
WIC
0 - 1
KEI
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
STC
0 - 2
KEI
27%
23%
50%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
KEI
0 - 3
SPA
12%
17%
71%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 3
KEI
56%
22%
23%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
STC
0 - 2
KEI
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
STR
9 - 0
STC
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
STC
3 - 1
FRA
17%
21%
63%
|
10 | 48 | 38 | +11 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FRA
3 - 3
STC
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
INV
5 - 0
STC
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 50 | 41 | 0 |