Keith vs Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
71.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 3
KEI
56%
22%
23%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
EDI
3 - 1
KEI
73%
17%
11%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 3
KEI
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
DAL
2 - 4
KEI
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
KEI
1 - 1
FOR
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 1
STI
73%
17%
11%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SEL
1 - 2
SPA
21%
22%
57%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
HER
0 - 3
SPA
20%
22%
59%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 0
TYN
75%
15%
10%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
CIV
0 - 5
SPA
22%
23%
55%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |